USD/JPY Forecast: USD Weakens Amid Global Banking Concerns – 16 March 2023
The key levels to watch are ?132.50 for support and ?135 for resistance, with further developments in the global banking sector likely to influence the currency pair’s trajectory.
The yen is a popular asset during turbulent times.
These movements are driven by concerns related to Credit Suisse, as Saudi financiers decided to stop propping up the troubled bank. This has sparked worries about contagion in the banking system, prompting an influx of money into bond markets. The Bank of Japan is currently attempting to combat higher interest rates, purchasing bonds with freshly printed Japanese yen to keep 10-year rates under 50 basis points. If global rates drop, pressure on the Bank of Japan may ease, resulting in a decreased need to buy yen and leading to a stronger Japanese currency. This scenario is precisely what the current Forex chart suggests.
Heightened fear in the market is likely to bolster the Japanese yen, making it one of the better-performing currencies amid ongoing uncertainty. As market sentiment improves, the currency pair could turn around. However, traders should exercise caution in these tumultuous times, as the market is expected to be volatile and noisy. In such an environment, it is advisable to maintain relatively small position sizes until there is confirmation of the market’s direction. Quite frankly, this is the type of situation that could be very dangerous if you are not careful, and keeping your account intact is going to be paramount.
The US dollar has weakened against the Japanese yen in light of concerns surrounding Credit Suisse and potential contagion in the global banking system. This has led to increased demand for bonds and has put pressure on the Bank of Japan to intervene in the market. As fear drives market movements, the Japanese yen may emerge as one of the stronger currencies. Traders should be prepared for volatility and noise in the market, keeping position sizes small until a clearer picture emerges. The key levels to watch are ?132.50 for support and ?135 for resistance, with further developments in the global banking sector likely to influence the currency pair’s trajectory.
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