S&P 500 Forecast: Index Continues to Look for Guidance – 09 March 2023
Investors need to keep an eye on the market and be prepared for any potential volatility.
Stock markets are crashing again
The S&P 500 market experienced a dip in futures trading overnight but managed to recover some ground during the day. Despite this, the market is still in a state of uncertainty following the sharp sell-off on Tuesday. Investors are still grappling with Jerome Powell’s recent statements regarding raising interest rates, with the possibility of even quicker hikes than initially anticipated. This led to a degree of chaos on Tuesday, and it seems that Wednesday is all about taking a breath after the frenzy. Further helping the market stabilizes the fact that Jerome Powell was not necessarily saying anything new during the day on Wednesday, so most of that bad news has been priced into the market. Now, we are simply looking for some type of reason to move.
In the event that the market falls below the day’s lows, it could move toward the 3900 level, which would then make way for a drop to the more substantial 3800 level, which represents a stronger support area for the long-term trend.Any rallies at this point in time should be taken with a grain of salt as they are likely to be short-lived.Wall Street has developed a pattern of buying dips whenever there is a selloff, and this “buy the dip” mentality may continue in the current market climate.
Nevertheless, if the 3900 level is taken out, it could bring in a significant amount of downward momentum. Conversely, a break above the 4100 level could see the market head toward the 4200 level, which would be a bullish development. However, the 4200 level may prove to be a challenging barrier to breach, and it is unlikely that the market will move much beyond this level anytime soon. Expectations are for choppy volatility, but overall, the market is likely to establish a larger consolidation range.
It is essential to note that there is a lot of uncertainty surrounding global growth and interest rates. The market is trying to come to terms with this uncertainty and to find direction amidst the chaos. Powell’s statements have thrown investors off-balance, but the market seems to be settling down a little. It is likely that the market will remain cautious and may continue to experience some choppiness before finding a clear direction. Investors need to keep an eye on the market and be prepared for any potential volatility.
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