S&P 500 Forecast: Continues to See Volatile Moves – 20 March 2023

If the market breaks below the 3950 level, it could lead to a move down to the 3900 level. This is an area where we have seen some support in the past, which could lead to a bounce. However, if the market breaks down further to the 3800 level, it could potentially go down to the 3600 level, which is a major swing low. Overall, it seems like a situation where traders should start shorting the market on any rally and signs of exhaustion. However, if the market manages to break above the 200-Day EMA, it could potentially reach the 4100 level.

It is unlikely that the market will suddenly break to the upside, and the overall risk appetite is negative. With Jerome Powell getting ready to release a new interest rate statement next week, there could be even more volatility in the market, which typically works against the value of stocks. Traders should keep their position sizes reasonable, as it seems like the market is trading based on the latest rumors or panic stories in the news. After all, this is a situation where it just seems like we are flailing around and trying to react to every single whisper in the markets.

At the end of the day, the S&P 500 attempted to rally during Friday’s trading session but concerns about the future direction of the market remain. The upcoming interest rate decision next week is causing uncertainty and leading to overhead problems for the market. If the market breaks below certain levels, it could lead to further declines. Traders should be prepared to short the market on any rally and signs of exhaustion. It is unlikely that the market will suddenly break to the upside, and the overall risk appetite is negative. Traders should keep their position sizes reasonable, as the market seems to be trading based on rumors or panic stories in the news.

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